Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Urban Traffic Networks

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for traffic signal coordination and control in urban traffic networks. One of the important features of the proposed stochastic MPC model is that uncertain traffic demands and stochastic disturbances are taken into account. Aiming to effectively model the uncertainties and avoid queue spillback in traffic networks, we develop a stochastic expected value model with chance constraints for the objective function of the stochastic MPC model. The objective function is defined to minimize the queue length and the oscillation of green time between any two control steps. Furthermore, by embedding the stochastic simulation and neural networks into a genetic algorithm, we propose a hybrid intelligent algorithm to solve the stochastic MPC model. Finally, numerical results by means of simulation on a road network are presented, which illustrate the performance of the proposed approach.